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Fellow Europeans are the group that seem most reluctant to travel to the city, with flight bookings between April 14 and August 31 down 29%. Bookings from the Asia-Pacific region are down 20% and the Americas are down 17%. China (+38%) and Israel (+23%) are actually faring better than last year.

 

ForwardKeys said arrivals from provincial Chinese cities were doing well in July and August, while the increase in Israel was thought to be down to the shift in dates for Passover.

 

Jager added: “The recovery in new bookings is what will drive Brussels’ arrival performance for the coming six months. It will require a fully functional airport and regained confidence from bookers, especially when arranging group trips. It’s possible that the summer holidays might see more last-minute bookings as a result.”

 

Meanwhile, a separate study by Sojern using the “intent to travel” metric, which measures flight search and booking data, found a similar pattern. During the days immediately following the attack, intent to travel fell by as much as 51%, with Sojern speculating that the effect was magnified by the long Easter weekend.

 

The biggest fall for an individual country was from the UK, where there was a week-on-week decline of 67% on Easter Monday.

 

Intent to travel from Italian travellers fell as low as 62% week-on-week, with the same metric for German travellers dropping 56%.

 

When Sojern carried out a similar study on Paris in the wake of last November’s terrorist attacks, the results showed that negative sentiment lasted for a fortnight.

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