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'Cuba can't continue like this – change, and a path back to stability and tourism growth, is just around the corner'

Cuba
Matt O'Sullivan
20 February 2026

Fuel shortages in Cuba owing to a US blockade on oil imports has prompted the Foreign Office to advise against all but essential travel to the country. So what does the future hold for this seemingly eternally embattled destination? Cuba specialist Matthew O'Sullivan thinks change could come more quickly than might be expected.

Matthew O'Sullivan is a Cuba expert at Archipelago Choice
(Credit: iStock / dk_photos / Matthew O'Sullivan)
Matthew O'Sullivan is a Cuba expert at Archipelago Choice (Credit: iStock / dk_photos / Matthew O'Sullivan)

It has unquestionably been a very turbulent few years for Cuba. However, it seems very likely some sort of change and a journey back to stability – and indeed tourism growth – is just around the corner.

On the ground, the situation is changing rapidly. The Foreign Office update obviously comes as a blow, but we've had clients in Cuba in the past week, with the majority flying back on Wednesday night (11 February) – good timing.