ao link

 

Text 2 - from share price graph

Meanwhile, Dart Group makes hay. Pre-tax profits for the six months to the end of September 2013 were up 37% to £78.1 million, with turnover up 35% to £787 million. At the time, Dart said growth was being “underpinned by continued strong growth in both the leisure airline and package holiday business”.

 

A closer examination bears this out. Jet2 the airline brought in well over half of the total turnover (£463 million), while the package holiday business accounted for £380.1 million. Dart’s original businesses, distribution and logistics, contributed £78 million, which is no mean feat but which is far from the group’s main focus.

 

Dart is unusual in that its year end is March 31, when the winter losses are added to the profitable summer. This is the reverse of how most travel brands work.

 

Consequently, the full-year profit figure will be less than the interim result. In the 12 months to March 31, 2013, Dart made £40.5 million before tax and £28.1 million the year before.

Looking good

Dart said earlier this month that full-year 2013-14 results in June would be in line with analysts’ expectations, while 2014-15 was also looking good, with more than half the current summer’s airline capacity sold.

 

Chris Thomas, an analyst with Arden Partners, expects pre-tax profits of £41.8 million for the year to March 2014. “We are looking for £45 million in 2014-15,” he added. This is a sign that things may be getting a little tougher, but Dart itself warns that winter losses will “increase materially” as its leisure business grows.

 

The next few years will no doubt see the group evolve more as a traditional operator. One day Jet2 may need to head south.

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